How Trump’s New Tariffs Could Affect Real Estate Investors

By Edward E. Fernandez | December 15, 2025

Key Takeaways

  • Tariffs on steel, aluminum, copper, lumber, and appliances have raised construction and development costs sharply.
  • Increased material costs lead to project delays, budget overruns, and reduced feasibility, especially for workforce and value-add housing.
  • Developers pass these costs to buyers and renters, pushing home prices and rents higher in supply-constrained markets.
  • Many investors focus on stabilizing existing assets, favor multifamily properties, and use DSTs or REITs to mitigate development risk.
  • Volatility reshapes capital flows, making diversification and agility crucial for capitalizing on market opportunities.

Recent Tariff Actions and Their Scope

In June 2025, tariffs on imported steel and aluminum doubled to 50%, affecting key construction materials like framing, roofing, electrical systems, and appliances. By August, the Trump administration imposed additional tariffs on imports from over 60 countries, including lumber (35% from Canada) and high tariffs of up to 50% from Brazil and India. The average U.S. tariff rate jumped from 2.3% in late 2024 to 15.8% in 2025, reflecting a more assertive trade stance.

Impact on Construction and Development Costs

Tariffs on building materials (e.g., steel, aluminum, lumber alternatives) can raise development costs for residential, commercial, and industrial projects. Roughly 7% of materials used in U.S. residential construction are imported and especially vulnerable to these tariffs, leading to: 

  • Higher cost per square foot
  • Delayed construction timelines due to sourcing constraints
  • Budget overruns, risking project cancellations or postponements 

Effect on Property Values and Rents

Limited new supply, due to higher building costs and slower development, supports existing property values in high-demand areas. Rent growth is rising in markets with constrained housing supply, benefiting investors focused on multifamily assets. However, higher input costs can dampen expected returns and reduce investor enthusiasm.

Commercial Real Estate Investor Considerations

These tariff changes are having an effect on commercial real estate (CRE). Unlike late 2024, when CRE transaction activity began to rebound, there was a slowdown of activity during the first two quarters of 2025. Whether these figures remain consistent or improve through late 2025 remains to be seen and requires careful attention. 

For investors, key strategic responses include:

  • Prioritizing stabilized assets to preserve cash flow and hedge against rising construction and replacement costs.
  • Leveraging passive real estate structures—such as DSTs or REITs—to gain diversified exposure to professionally managed, income-generating properties without taking on the risks of new development or direct management.
  • Focusing on sectors with resilient demand, such as senior housing and necessity-based commercial, where rent growth can help offset inflationary pressures.

A combination of strategic risk management and diversified sourcing helps CRE investors maintain portfolio growth. 

Market Sentiment and Economic Impact

CRE investors monitor not just costs, but also broader shifts in consumer and investor behavior. Tariffs often contribute to macroeconomic uncertainty, which can impact:

  • Interest rate policy
  • Institutional investment flows
  • Market confidence

This environment creates both risks and potential opportunities, underscoring the importance of diversification and flexibility for real estate investors.

Stay Informed and Strategically Positioned

While tariffs elevate construction costs and introduce uncertainty, they also reshape real estate investment strategies—rewarding those who balance risk management, diversification, and long-term planning. For investors interested in tax-efficient, passive real estate investments that may help navigate these challenges, consider opening a free investor account with 1031 Crowdfunding to explore current offerings.


This material does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. An offer can only be made by a prospectus that contains more complete information on risks, management fees, and other expenses. This literature must be accompanied by and read in conjunction with a prospectus or private placement memorandum to fully understand the implications and risks of the offering of securities to which it relates. As with all investing, investing in private placements is speculative in nature and involves a degree of risk, including loss of your principal. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results, forward-looking statements and projections are not guaranteed to achieve the results described, and your actual returns may vary significantly. Investments in private placements are illiquid in nature, and there may be no secondary market or ability to sell the investment should the need for liquidity arise. This material should not be construed as tax advice, and you should consult with your tax advisor, as individual tax situations will vary. Securities offered through Capulent, LLC Member FINRA, SIPC.

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